The Iran Deal: It's Not Rocket Science
The Iran deal: It's not rocket science, but it is nuclear physics - and I didn't take that course, either. I've flipped back and forth on this and have concluded that it is above my pay-grade. There are so many details, much of it contradictory and most of it technical. What to think?
But there is something I do know: human dynamics.
What is the motivation of the administration? Of any administration? To do the right thing and leave a good legacy. What is the motive of the opposition? To criticize and discredit the incumbent as much as possible, setting the stage for an electoral challenge.
That, of course doesn't mean that the administration is necessarily correct-they might, in fact, be disastrously wrong, but GOP opposition could be expected on almost any issue.
Let's follow this logically. If there is no agreement, there would likely be war. Is that desirable? Would that be in the interest of Israel? No.
Worst case scenario: the West is duped and Iran gets nukes. Scary, yes. But even so, how likely would Iran be to use them? It wouldn't dare risk the ramifications. And while people suggest the Iranians are "crazy," they are not so crazy as to risk their own annihilation. Yes, there are suicide bombers, but while an individual might commit suicide, a nation won't.
This is a hard call. The administration might well be giving too much away - and I suspect this might be so. But if it avoids war and if Iran doesn't develops nuclear weapons, well and good. And even if Iran can develop such weapons, there is probably more to be feared from its conventional arsenals.